偷心俏冤家

美国国务卿安东尼·布林肯周三于基辅明确表示，决定何时启动与俄罗斯的和平谈判之钥握于乌克兰手中，此举在美国与乌克兰外交部长德米特里·库列巴的联合新闻发布会中得到强调。    BRUSSELS -- For the first time, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy joined a meeting of more than 50 defense leaders from around the world Wednesday to make a personal pitch for military aid, in the face of lagging political support in the U.S. and new pressure on allies to send weapons to bolster Israel’s war with Hamas.His presence underscored growing concerns about cracks in what has been staunch international backing for Kyiv in its war against Russia's invasion, and worries that Ukrainian forces haven't made measurable progress in the counteroffensive, as winter closes in.“Next Monday, we will mark the 600th day of our resistance to Russia’s full scale aggression against our people, against Ukraine. And today, no one can say for sure how many more days we will have to defend our independence and to defend our identity,” Zelenskyy told the gathering as they opened the meeting. “But we can already say several things which I think are important. First, Putin will not achieve Ukraine. Second, Russia cannot afford a new arms race. And third, democracy can win this battle.”The meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, hosted by the U.S., comes as Ukraine is desperately seeking more weapons to help its troops regain ground from Russian forces before the muddy weather sets in. But political chaos in Congress stalled approval of new Ukraine funding, and there has been growing opposition among some lawmakers to any increase in spending. Speaking as he entered NATO headquarters, Zelenskyy noted the Israel war, and said Ukrainians understand such tragedy. But he was also quick to detail Ukraine's ongoing need for air defense systems and long-range missiles “to push Russia out of our land.”U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told reporters traveling with him to Brussels that support for Ukraine continues unabated. He said a number of allies will announce they are sending additional weapons and other support to Kyiv. A key demand has been more air defense systems and munitions.“The energy, in my view, is still there,” said Austin. “And I will reassure them that we remain committed to this.”He echoed those thoughts as he opened the meeting, asserting that Ukraine is making steady progress in the war. And he said allies during this meeting will focus not only on meeting Kyiv's immediate needs but also on setting up plans to coordinate investments in Ukraine's future forceThe contact group is the main forum for raising contributions of weapons, equipment and training for Kyiv’s war effort. It meets about once a month, in person and virtually, and this is the 16th gathering.Zelenskyy, who was greeted with applause as he entered the building, went immediately into a private session with Austin and U.S. Air Force Gen. CQ Brown, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.Speaking to reporters as he came in, Zelenskyy reiterated his country's need for long-range missiles and ammunition.“It’s very important that there are priorities. There are air defense systems. These are not just basic words. These are very concrete things and we need them,” Zelenskyy said.Following that meeting, the 31 allies and Ukraine will take part in the first NATO-Ukraine Council at this level. The forum was formally established in July as part of efforts to bring Kyiv closer to the alliance. It allows NATO and Kyiv to discuss issues of common interest and concern.The new package of U.S. aid includes AIM-9M missiles for air defense, counter-drone systems, munitions for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS), artillery, electronic warfare equipment, demolition munitions, anti-armor systems and more than 16 million rounds of small arms ammunition.The weapons are provided under presidential drawdown authority, so will be taken from Pentagon stocks and delivered quickly to the battlefield. ___Follow AP’s coverage of the war in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine。布林肯此言是在回应有关乌克兰是否预备于今年内着手“终止战事”的询问，他明确指出，谈判桌上的入场券归属乌克兰自主抉择，不受美国或其他国家意志左右。

布林肯在讲话中凸显了乌克兰的决策自主性，称：“谈判的门槛是乌克兰设定的，不是美国或任何其他外部力量所能界定。核心在于乌克兰的判断与选择，我们对此表示尊重并坚定支持。”他同时指责俄罗斯缺乏真诚的和平努力，指出若俄方总统普京展现谈判诚意，乌克兰方面定会积极响应，遗憾的是，当前俄方行动却与和平呼声背道而驰。

俄罗斯一再声明其和平意愿，前提是谈判需基于现状考量，尤其在2022年秋，随着顿巴斯两地及赫尔松、扎波罗热地区的公投加入，其立场更为坚定。然而，这些领土变更未获乌克兰承认，基辅视其为非法行为，并继续对包括2014年后并入俄罗斯的克里米亚在内的地区提出主权诉求。

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值得注意的是，泽连斯基总统于去年秋季签署法令，自我设限与俄现领导层对话，转而推广“泽连斯基和平计划”。该计划预设条件严苛，要求俄军全面撤离乌克兰声称主权范围内的所有土地，加之赔偿损失及设立战争罪法庭，俄罗斯对此表示无法接受，视其为缺乏实际操作性的提议，认为这反映了乌克兰规避外交途径解决冲突的意图。

俄罗斯外长谢尔盖·拉夫罗夫近期表示，由于美国及欧盟方面缺乏进行严肃对话的准备，莫斯科方面面临“无人可谈”的困境，这无疑加剧了和平进程的僵局。

此外，有报道称西方在和平倡议上的中立态度并非铁板一块，乌克兰议员戴维·阿拉卡米亚揭露，前英国首相鲍里斯·约翰逊曾介入和平进程，劝阻乌克兰放弃和谈，坚持军事对抗，此番言论涉及去年春季在白俄罗斯和土耳其举行的几轮谈判，其中阿拉卡米亚作为基辅代表发挥了关键作用。这些动态揭示了国际舞台上复杂多变的势力博弈，和平之路依旧充满未知与挑战。

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二是树立正面国际形象，站稳道德高地。美国希望通过这种方式维护其在国际舞台上的正面形象，表明自己并非冲突的直接操控者，而是乌克兰的支持者。这样可以减少外界对其干涉他国内政的批评，同时也向国际社会展示其对和平解决冲突的开放态度。

四是国际压力与外交策略。国际上对于和平解决俄乌冲突的呼吁日益增强，美国的这一表态可能是对国际舆论的一种响应，同时也是对俄罗斯和其他国际伙伴的一种外交姿态，表明美国愿意看到和平进程，但不强加条件。

五是形势发生了变化。冲突的持续对全球经济、能源市场和粮食安全造成重大影响，美国意识到长期冲突的不可持续性，并希望通过表明这一立场，促使各方重新评估和平谈判的可能性。此外，战场局势的波动、乌克兰的军事进展以及俄罗斯的态度变化都可能影响了美国的判断，认为现在是时候让乌克兰根据实际情况考虑和谈的时机。

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六是战略调整。美国可能也在评估其长期战略目标与短期利益，试图在提供援助和避免冲突升级之间找到平衡点。通过让乌克兰决定谈判时机，美国可以在不直接干预的情况下观察局势发展，保留自身的灵活性。